AUSTIN (KXAN) — A partly to mostly cloudy sky greeted those up early on this first day of October. Like Saturday, this morning’s were mostly in the upper 60s to low 70s but there were a few mid 60s where the clouds were not as prevalent. Camp Mabry’s low fell to 72°, six degrees above normal.

Central Texas temperatures will return to the lower to middle 90s today and Monday.

Slightly lower temperatures are forecast Tuesday and Wednesday because of more cloud cover and the increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms.

The cold front will arrive Thursday morning delivering a north wind by Thursday afternoon and helping to significantly lower temperatures with many highs Friday and Saturday in the upper 70s to low 80s.

A southwest flow in the upper atmosphere along with a surface flow from the Gulf will bring in plenty of moisture for the skies to open up with much-needed showers and thunderstorms beginning Tuesday afternoon. The chance of rain will be 40%.

They’ll be higher Wednesday and Thursday before lowering by Friday and Saturday.

October is the 2nd wettest month of the year in Central Texas with 3.91″. The European model is suggesting that at least 1.50″ could be measured between Tuesday afternoon and Saturday evening. That’s the more aggressive forecast because the American model doesn’t even have .50″ measured anywhere.

Read all about the expectations in a dedicated weather blog below:

The second week outlook, October 8th to 14th shows the cooler than normal pattern continuing. Precipitation is expected to be near normal.

September Numbers

September 2023 will go down as the second hottest on record with an average temperature of 86.0°. This was helped by 11 days of a high of 100° and higher along with only three days where the high was below normal.

Rain was measured just five days (13th to 16th and the 24th) with only 1.58″ measured, a deficit of 1.87″.

With nine months in the book Camp Mabry’s mean temperature of 77.5° ties 2011 as the hottest year on record.

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