Poll: Cruz leads O’Rourke by 5 points, Gov. Abbott ahead by 14


AUSTIN (KXAN) — The margin is still tight, but current Sen. Ted Cruz is still leading his Democratic opponent, Beto O’Rourke, according to a new Quinnipiac University Poll released Monday. 

U.S. Senate race

About 51 percent of likely voters are supporting Cruz, while 46 percent are going for O’Rourke. In the last two Quinnipiac polls, Cruz has led O’Rourke by 54-45 percent.

“O’Rourke is within striking distance, but time is running out in a race that Democrats have hoped would deliver an upset victory that would be key to a Senate takeover,” said Peter A. Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Sen. Cruz is ahead due to his winning the ‘gender gap.’ He wins men 56-39 percent, while Representative O’Rourke can manage only a 52-45 percent edge among women.”

 Ted Cruz support (percent)Beto O’Rourke support (percent)


The poll estimates just 3 percent of likely voters in Texas are undecided at this point when it comes to the senate race, and only 2 percent of those voters who named a U.S. Senate candidate say they might change their mind in the next eight days.

Governor’s race

Current Republican Gov. Greg Abbott has a 14-point lead on former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez, with a spread of 54-40 percent.

Gov. Abbott leads 69-27 percent among white voters, while Valdez leads among both black (75-17 percent) and Hispanic (52-42 percent) voters.

According to Brown, it would take a “historic comeback” for Valdez to win at this point.

The poll

This poll was conducted with 1,078 Texas likely voters between Oct. 22-28. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points.

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