Snick’s Picks: Don’t go crazy in week one

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AUSTIN (KXAN) — Finally, the football regular season has arrived. Here’s a little bit of advice for the first week–don’t go crazy making a bunch of picks.

The goal isn’t to prove everyone wrong and pick a bunch of games right. Get in on a couple games and get out as quick as possible. Then, sit back and watch the public overreactions flood in for the second and third weeks of the season.

I didn’t come up with the name Snick’s picks but…I kind of like it. On to the games:

Washington +1.5 vs. Auburn

This is setting up to be the perfect underdog spot for Washington going into SEC Country in Atlanta to open the season against Auburn. Aside from a brutal schedule, the Auburn offense may take a couple weeks before running at full strength. Running backs Kam Pettway and Kerryon Johnson are in the NFL. Kam Martin can fill a void but those two players were vital in Gus Malzahn’s offense. Meanwhile, wide receivers Will Hastings and Eli Stove are both out for at least the first month of the season coming back from injury. I’m a big fan of Jarrett Stidham, but his completion percentage dropped significantly when he was under pressure last season. Washington will be able to get at Stidham. I like Washington outright

LSU/Miami Under 48

I love unders. There’s a popular phrase out there “life’s too short to bet unders” but there’s nothing I love more than a slow, defensive struggle between two teams. LSU and Miami should provide that kind of game for us Sunday night at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow was supposed to take the starting spot and change the fortune for the LSU offense. Most reports are reporting to the contrary in preseason camp. Although, LSU defensive coordinator Dave Arranda should have plenty prepared to confuse Miami quarterback Malik Rosier. Look out for a slow start between these two squads–maybe keep an eye out for under 24 points in the first half, as well.

San Diego State +14.5 vs. Stanford

My favorite Snick pick of the weekend is a Friday night match up between the Aztecs and the Cardinal. Yes, this is a revenge spot for Stanford after the 20-17 loss a season ago and yet I’m not buying into that easy narrative. Stanford is intriguing this year–no doubt. Stanford quarterback KJ Costello’s health is an uncertainty after a hip injury held the junior out of spring practice. Donnel Pumphrey, Rashad Penny and now it’s Juwan Washington’s turn to take over as the lead back for San Diego State and he has the chops to be really good. Washington averaged 6 yards a carry last season in the back up role picking up 759 rushing yards. Take the two touchdowns and the hook with San Diego State.

FULL DISCLOSURE

Tulane +7 vs. Wake Forest is a Snick pick for Thursday night. Unfortunately, other people had the same idea with the number moving on the home dog to Tulane +6 on Tuesday morning. Green Wave head coach Willie Fritz runs a different type of triple-option attack with more up-tempo tendencies. Either way, it will cause problems for the Demon Deacons, a team that gave up more than 420 rushing yards to Georgia Tech’s triple option offense a season ago. If this number creeps back toward the touchdown, take Tulane in the home opener.

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